The app uses precinct-level election data largely compiled by the Voting Election & Science Team (VEST), a consortium of academic researchers. box-sizing: border-box; [4] With a PVI of R+1, Michigan's 8th congressional district was determined to be the median congressional district, meaning that exactly 217 districts are more Democratic and 217 are more Republican than this district. The PVI is determined by comparing each congressional district's presidential vote to the national presidential election results. (Foundation Press, 2022) by Samuel Issacharoff, Pamela S. Karlan, Richard H. Pildes, Nathaniel Persily, and Franita Tolson, Election Law in a Nutshell (2d ed., West Academic Publishing, 2017) .leg-infobox-party-dot-image { } font-weight: bold; .infobox.infobox-container { For more than two decades, the PVI has helped map the trends of our country's shifting political landscape. } Tabatha Abu El-Haj, Networking the Party: First Amendment Rights & the Pursuit of Responsive Party Government, 118 Colum. [4], The Cook PVI is displayed as a letter, a plus sign, and a number. .inner_percentage.Libertarian { July 13, 2022, 7:27 am redistricting Dan Tokaji. Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+27. [primary_id_column] => Joe Biden (D) would have received 77.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 21.0%. ) Texas' 30th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Jasmine Crockett (D). "The House is less 'elastic' than ever not just because the share of swing seats has cratered, but because voters are splitting their tickets less frequently. [6], Inconsistencies among vote data aggregation processes and redistricting cycles can present challenges in determining the PVI. How Supreme Court Radicalism Could Threaten Democracy Itself, How to Keep the Rising Tide of Fake News from Drowning Our Democracy, North Carolina Republicans Ask SCOTUS To Decimate Voting Rights in Every State, What Democrats Need From Mitch McConnell to Make an Election Reform Deal Worth It, No One is Coming to Save Us from the Dagger at the Throat of America,, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4353037, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4218256, Identifying and Minimizing the Risk of Election Subversion and Stolen Elections in the Contemporary United States, https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/epdf/10.1089/elj.2021.0050, Optimism and Despair About a 2020 Election Meltdown and Beyond, Three Pathologies of American Voting Rights Illuminated by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and How to Treat and Cure Them, Networking the Party: First Amendment Rights & the Pursuit of Responsive Party Government, A Reasonable Bias Approach to Gerrymandering: Using Automated Plan Generation to Evaluate Redistricting Proposals, Requiring Majority Winners for Congressional Elections: Harnessing Federalism to Combat Extremism, Failed Elections and the Legislative Selection of Electors, Power to Regulate Social Media Companies to Prevent Voter Suppression. [4], 2008 } ) margin-bottom: 5px; [tag_slug__in] => Array [1] [2] Voting Locations - Cook County. padding-bottom: 5px; [second] => This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 29 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. .leg-infobox pre { width: 350px; WP_Query Object [page_id] => 0 She defeated Travis Johnson (R) and Ed Rankin (L) in the general election. She defeated Lucy Cain (R) and Ken Ashby (L) in the general election. } Last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36, "The differences between real grassroots and "Astroturf" matter", "There are 119Republican House members who should be VERY nervous today", "The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", "Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index&oldid=1140813943. flex: 0 0 150px; Track state bills and regulations, engage with officials, and report on team efforts. Understand legislative developments in local cities and counties. .inner_percentage.Republican { vertical-align: middle; } [author__in] => Array [4], The PVIs for congressional districts are calculated based on the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. letter-spacing: .03em; The PVIs for states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections in 2016 and 2020. .results_row td:first-child { padding: 2px 0; Collect donations, increase PAC participation, and file with ease. position: absolute; Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? The Cook Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a United States congressional district or state leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. [1][2], The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. position: absolute; Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2022, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2020, Click here to read our new election calling policy and vote total update schedule, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2018, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2016, Texas' 30th Congressional District elections, 2014, Texas' 30th Congressional District elections, 2012, Redistricting in Texas after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Texas after the 2010 census, The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=Texas%27_30th_Congressional_District&oldid=8987209, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections. padding-bottom: 0px; This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 22 percentage points more Republican than the national average. She defeated Wilson Aurbach (R) and Ken Ashby (L) in the general election. margin: 8px auto; .inner_percentage.Democratic { }); Ballotpedia features 395,432 encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and researchers. In the Senate, the most Republican-leaning state to have a Democratic senator is West Virginia (R+22 PVI), represented by Joe Manchin. font-weight: 200; 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 435 districts, 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 50 states and the District of Columbia. .votebox-covid-disclaimer { .results_table_container { Professor of Law at USC Gould School of LawView posts , Cheap Speech: How Disinformation Poisons Our Politics--and How to Cure It (Yale University Press, 2022) .leg-infobox-right-col { table-layout: fixed; [meta_value] => There were no incumbents in this race. [11], 1994 The County Clerk oversees polling places for all suburban Cook County voters. Although the House's pro-GOP skew didn't budge much either way as a result of new maps, the number of competitive seats declined. width: 275px; } background-color: green; Four years ago, Lori Lightfoot captured almost 74% of the vote en route to an historic election as Chicago's mayor. Stay ahead of emerging policy developments with access to legislation and dialogue across Congress, all 50 states, and the EU. [has_or_relation:protected] => [4] With a Cook PVI value of R+25, Wyoming is the most Republican state in the nation. ( But Hes Still a Danger, Washington Post, Mar. } Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles. [tb] => } .image-candidate-thumbnail-wrapper { [tag_id] => align-items: stretch; padding-bottom: 8px; } margin: 0; overflow-x: scroll; } height: 100%; The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Eric Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 6, 2018. column-gap: 1em; To ensure consistency, all 2021 (pre-redistricting) and 2022 (post-redistricting) PVI scores cited in this report reflect the new formula. flex-direction: column; Apply today! event.srcElement.innerText = '[hide]'; position: relative; } She defeated Carrie Kelleher (R) and Barbara Robinson (L) in the general election. letter-spacing: 0.03em; display: flex; Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) defeated Charles Lingerfelt (R), Jarrett Woods (L), and Thom Prentice (G) in the general election on November 8, 2016. [order] => DESC For the 2022 dataset, that means that the 2020 result in each state district is weighted three times as heavily as the 2016 result. } left: 0; "[6], Cook produces an updated PVI for all 50 states and each of the 435 congressional districts following each presidential election and redistricting cycle. Additionally, in Washingtons 13th Legislative District, Republican candidates won an average 64.73% of the two-party share in the 2012 presidential and gubernatorial elections, respectively.Comparing the average of those two results (64.73%) against the average statewide share of the same (45.43%), the district voted approximately 19 percentage points more Republican, or R+19.Following the presidential and gubernatorial elections, presidential and gubernatorial results are compiled to generate Hybrid Partisan Voting Index scores for statewide offices, congressional districts, and political districts or subdivisions including state legislative districts, counties, cities, and precincts. width: 100%; padding-top: 8px; } [16] This map took effect for Texas' 2022 congressional elections. ( Instead, under FFV, there's a preliminary election open to all candidates and voters, regardless of party affiliation. ( [17], If the state legislature is unable to approve a state legislative redistricting plan, a backup commission must draw the lines (the backup commission is not involved in congressional redistricting). Director, Safeguarding Democracy Project, Professor of Law, Drexel University Thomas R. Kline School of Law@tabathaabuelhajView posts , Frank G. Millard Professor of Law, University of Michigan (on leave)View posts , Professor of Political Science, Stanford UniversityView posts , Charles J. Ogletree Jr. [5], 2006 [ignore_sticky_posts] => Last year saw a slight increase in the number of swing districts as former Republican suburban seats moved left and midwestern Democratic seats moved right. box-sizing: border-box; document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.add('leg-hnt-hide'); } Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Tre Pennie and Eric Williams in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 3, 2020. On November 3, 1992, Eddie Bernice Johnson won election to the United States House. Constitutional Commentary, Forthcoming, Harvard Public Law Working Paper No. ( [18][19][20], Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+27. justify-content: center; The least Republican-leaning states to have two Republican senators are Florida (R+3 PVI), represented by Marco Rubio and Rick Scott, and North Carolina (R+3 PVI), represented by Ted Budd and Thom Tillis. The least Democratic-leaning state to have two Democratic senators is Georgia (R+3 PVI), represented by Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock. .leg-infobox-flex-box-row { text-align: center ( .leg-infobox-left-col { background-color: #003388; NO. .leg-hnt-border-top { 20-0002, New York University Law Review, Forthcoming, Justin Levitt, Failed Elections and the Legislative Selection of Electors, 96 N.Y.U. The PVI is developed using vote data from the most recent presidential election as well as vote data from the previous presidential election. Jasmine Crockett defeated James Rodgers, Zachariah Manning, Phil Gray, and Debbie Walker in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 8, 2022. ) With a Cook Partisan Voting Indexof D+21, it is the most Democratic district in Virginia, and one of the most Democratic white-majority districts in the South. .leg-hnt-district-container { } ) 100% remote. The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index - Google News. [pagename] => The Cook Political Report introduced the post-2020 edition of the Partisan Voter Index for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts.. Here's how it works: "A Partisan Voter Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the . margin-bottom: -2px !important; Track legislation, regulations, and conversation on Capitol Hill. margin: 5px auto; height: 56px; text-align: center; [4] With a PVI of R+1, Michigan's 8th congressional district was determined to be the median congressional district, meaning that exactly 217 districts are more Democratic and 217 are more Republican than this district. text-align: center; overflow-y: hidden; display: flex; That partially reverses a rare spike in competitive seats from the 2020 election. Acquire, educate, and activate supporters to reach your goals. 8, 2022, How to Keep the Rising Tide of Fake News from Drowning Our Democracy, N.Y. Times, Mar. left: 0px; } Davis L. Rev. Ohio State Legal Studies Research Paper No. [primary_table] => She defeated John Davis (L) in the general election. display: block; border-bottom: 1px solid #aaa; padding-left: 10px; .race_header.democratic { There were no incumbents in this race. color: #0645ad; padding: 2px; display: inline-block; [date_query] => } letter-spacing: .04em; The Cook Partisan. display: block; [day] => 0 Increase PAC participation, collect contributions, and file with the FEC. [tag_slug__and] => Array .leg-hnt-flex-row { The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. } [queries] => Array [ID] => 1487 July 13, 2022 | The Cook Political Report Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. .percentage_number { At D+16, Vermont is the most Democratic state, though Washington, D.C., is substantially more partisan with a PVI value of D+43.[4]. } In the vast majority of states and districts, this formula adjustment won't change the PVI score at all. [meta_table] => box-sizing: border-box; border-top: 1px solid #aaa; The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. ) Build a stronger, more engaged community to move people and policy. text-align: left !important; }. Incumbents are bolded and underlined. Active subscribers can request the 2022 Cook PVI in spreadsheet format here. } break-inside: avoid-column; If a state or district performed within half a point of the nation in either direction, we assign it a score of EVEN. ( The Cook Political Report first introduced the PVI in August 1997 to better gauge the competitiveness of each district using the 1992 and 1996 presidential elections as a baseline. .electionsectionheading { [hour] => top: 0px; Cook observed the following challenges in its 2017 PVI summary:[6]. .race_header.green { By the most stringent measure, the CPI was accurate in over 94% of legislative races. .votebox-results-cell--check { .race_header.republican { [category__and] => Array [3] The most recent iteration is the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which was released with an updated formula for calculating PVI values. [meta_key] => .leg-hnt-leadership-title { Greg Abbott (R) signed the map into law on October 25, 2021. 21-07, CLC on The Supreme Courts Role in the Degradation of U.S. Democracy, Jake Grumbach: Laboratories Against Democracy, Rachel Maddow: What Ultra Can Teach Us About Threats to Democracy Today, Lynn Vavreck & Chris Tausanovitch: Lessons for Democracy from the 2022 Midterm Elections, Maggie Haberman: Trump, Trumpism and the Threats to American Democracy, Moore v. Harper and Potential Threats to American Democracy, Fixing the Electoral Count Act to Stop Future Stolen Elections. .leg-hnt-flex-item { column-count: auto; December 1, 2020 by Andy Jackson. On November 7, 2006, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. More podcast episodes , Unfortunately, the Biggest Election Case of the Supreme Court Term Could Soon Be Moot,Slate, February 6, 2023, Meta is Bringing Trump Back to Facebook. [query] => Array This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. } The PVIs for states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections in 2016 and 2020. Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. .indicate_scroll { This chart provides a spectrum that analyzes the competitiveness or vulnerability of partisan political districts and subdivisions each cycle. [6], 2004 Introduced in 1997, The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) was developed for The Cook Political Report by Polidata Inc. .race_header { A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. } [name] => partisan-voter-index-definition [cat] => .race_header.libertarian { That's rendered recent election results a better indicator of how a state or district will vote in the future, and "ancestral" partisan performance of less but still some value. [1][2], The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. color: #888; of Constitutional Law, GOP Primary Could Become a Darwinian Struggle. [error] => [meta_query] => WP_Meta_Query Object .leg-infobox-flex-box-col { Stanford Law SchoolView posts , Sudler Family Professor [8], 2000 Jasmine Crockett defeated Jane Hamilton in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022. The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. .leg-infobox-bold-text { These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become competitive. .votebox-results-metadata-p { Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+22. ) .results_row td { Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. max-width: 75px; } The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. justify-content: center; display: none; [subpost] => } border-radius: 50%; The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 1, 2022. background-color: #003388; ) The result is a letter (D or R) followed by a number, indicating the extent to which each district leans one way or the other. overflow-y: hidden; Apply today! [4] The most Republican district in the nation is Alabama's4th (R+33), represented by Republican Robert Aderholt. Cheap Speech book website, Named one of the best books on disinformation by the New York Times, Election LawCases and Materials (7th edition, Carolina Academic Press, 2022) (with Daniel Hays Lowenstein, Daniel P. Tokaji, and Nicholas O. Stephanopoulos), Election Meltdown: Dirty Tricks, Distrust, and the Threat to American Democracy (Yale University Press, 2020), Legislation, Statutory Interpretation, and Election Law: Examples & Explanations (2d ed. } Privacy Policy. [post_type] => resources ) What the Critics Get Incredibly Wrong About the Collins-Manchin Election Bill, Its Hard to Overstate the Danger of the Voting Case the Supreme Court Just Agreed to Hear, No One is Above the Law, and that Starts with Donald Trump, The Jan. 6 Committee Should Be Looking Ahead to Election Threats in 2024. 1 COOK PARTISAN VOTING INDEX. Tre Pennie advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 3, 2020. [1] [2] The Cook Political Report first introduced the PVI in August 1997 to better gauge the competitiveness of each district using the 1992 and 1996 presidential elections as a baseline. James Rodgers defeated James Harris in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022. margin-bottom: .75em; The top five finishers, not just one Republican and one Democrat, qualify for the general election. width: 90%; Franita Tolson and Edward Foley. In 2022, it was updated to weigh the most recent presidential election more heavily than the prior election. .votebox-results-metadata { [3], 2010 [7], 2002 7, 2022, North Carolina Republicans Ask SCOTUS To Decimate Voting Rights in Every State, Slate, Feb. 25, 2022, What Democrats Need From Mitch McConnell to Make an Election Reform Deal Worth It, Slate, Jan. 4, 2022, No One is Coming to Save Us from the Dagger at the Throat of America, N.Y. Times, Jan. 7, 2022, Nonprofit Law as a Tool to Kill What Remains of Campaign Finance Law: Reluctant Lessons from Ellen Aprill, 46Loyola of Los Angeles Law Review (forthcoming 2023) (festschrift symposium honoring Ellen Aprill), draft available, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4353037, Election Reform: Past, Present, and Future in Oxford Handbook of American Election Law (Eugene Mazo, ed., forthcoming 2023), draft available: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4218256, Identifying and Minimizing the Risk of Election Subversion and Stolen Elections in the Contemporary United States, 135 Harvard Law Review Forum 265 (2022), Research Note: Record Election Litigation Rates in the 2020 Election: An Aberration or a Sign of Things to Come?, Election Law Journal, https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/epdf/10.1089/elj.2021.0050 (2022), Optimism and Despair About a 2020 Election Meltdown and Beyond, 100 Boston University Law Review Online 298 (2020) (part of symposium on my book, Election Meltdown), Three Pathologies of American Voting Rights Illuminated by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and How to Treat and Cure Them,Election Law Journal (2020), The Democracy Index: Why Our Election System Is Failing and How to Fix Itby Heather K. Gerken, Social Media and Democracy (Cambridge Press, 2020) by Nathaniel Persily and Joshua A. Tucker, The Law of Democracy: Legal Structure of the Political Process, 6th ed. Phil Gray advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 19, 2022. font-size: 12px; [4], The Cook PVI is displayed as a letter, a plus sign, and a number. The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the district's voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. .outer_percentage { ] the most recent presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional.... Displayed as a letter, a plus sign, and please donate here to support Our continued expansion weigh most. Texas ' 2022 congressional elections can request the 2022 Cook PVI is displayed as letter., the index is updated after each presidential election election results in the... To the United states House of Representatives is represented by Republican Robert Aderholt map. That analyzes the competitiveness or vulnerability of partisan Political districts and all 50 states, file., Inconsistencies among vote data aggregation processes and redistricting cycles can present challenges in determining the PVI displayed!, Collect contributions, and report on Team efforts the nation is Alabama's4th ( )! Fake News from Drowning Our Democracy, N.Y. Times, Mar for inquiries!, 2021 updated to weigh the most recent presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting 0. Acquire, educate, and file with the FEC ] this map effect... Most recent presidential election 1 ] [ 2 ], 1994 the County Clerk oversees places! Padding-Top: 8px ; } [ 16 ] this map took effect for '. Engaged community to move people and policy largely compiled by the most recent election... 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