"will deploy a running back by committee as long as Mike LaFleur is their offensive coordinator. Running Back. Find out more, Have questions or need some help? As the season nears an end, how can bettors best capitalize on the NFL sides and totals? Sleepers, as Ive told you before, dont exist and suck when they are drafted higher. pahowdy writes for dynastyleaguefootball.com. Bell's real-life ceiling isn't that exciting, but his PPR upside is. Cookie Notice Jones had a monster final season at Alabama, and his profile aligns closely with Joe Burrow's from last season, but Jones wasn't the first overall pick. He may play a little undersized -- he weighed in at 215 pounds at his Pro Day, but he's noted that he plays smaller than that -- and that could help James Robinson stick around in some sort of early-down role. If not, just know that targets are earned and are a sticky stat. Draft War Room. Today on this sub I've learned that you definitely should not buy anything from Ratcliffe, but you definitely should from JJ. Kyle Yates is joined today by JJ Zachariason of Late Round Fantasy to run through their top-10 rookie WR rankings heading into the 2022 NFL Draft. If I have multiple second-round rookie picks I would be fine sending out an offer a second for Burks, who did have an impressive 17.6% target share as a rookie, but that is the only instance I would do so. But we can't deny the immediate impact St. Brown can make, especially if he's able to capture the main slot role. There was a clear-cut group of three running backs at the top of the position heading into the draft, and the same can be said post-draft. would be the quarterback, Collins would be more in the Amon-Ra St. Brown tier -- he'd likely be ahead of St. Brown. It doesnt matter how you get me your questions, just make sure you get them to me and Ill answer them every week. Smith's best-season yards per team pass attempt rate -- the most predictive production-related metric in my model -- was 4.37. Zach Wilson was outplayed by Mike White in 2021; it earned him Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. The colossal force in fantasy football podcasting. There are multiple wide receivers from last years class on this list including Skyy Moore, Alec Pierce, Romeo Doubs, and WanDale Robinson. He wasn't even a top-10 pick. Like it or not, the running back position is THE most-important position in fantasy. That's due to the fact that he ranked in the top-eight in all three production-related categories in the model among the 50 wide receivers who were invited to the combine. The combined podcast feed for all of the shows in the DLF Family of podcasts. Dulcich's downfield ability will make him well worth the risk if he hits. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. Kyle Yates is joined today by JJ Zachariason of Late Round Fantasy to run through their top-10 rookie WR rankings heading into the 2022 NFL Draft. And their first seasons also saw an uptick in rush attempts of about 22. numberFire was later bought by FanDuel in 2015, where he spent over six years as Editor-In-Chief. But it's not like we have a big sample of Meyer as a coach in the NFL, so anything's possible. Despite his fairly impressive production -- he had a best-season yards per team pass attempt rate of 4.23, ranking third-best in the class -- to go along with early declare status and a good breakout age, it's just tough to ignore that he weighs about as much as I did when I was an eighth-grader. Walker carried the ball eight times for 88 yards and a touchdown. Chris Olave (13.21), Garrett Wilson (12.69), Christian Watson (11.72), Jahan Dotson (10.88), and Drake London (10.51) all eclipsed the feat last year. Below are my post-draft positional rookie ranks and a Superflex top 50. If he seems a bit defensive, forgive him, it's just a Philly thing. Havent looked back since. I purchased it as a huge JJ fan. He's a bigger-bodied back at 230 pounds who also can catch passes out of the backfield. Thanks to that incredibly high yards per team pass attempt rate, Eskridge checks in around the 85th percentile mark in my model. Kenneth Walker remains my RB2 but tumbles down the overall rankings, as you can see below. He now joins two other first-rounders since 2006 with a rate above 4.0 while being drafted in Round 1: Demaryius Thomas, Once the Alabama wide receivers are off your rookie draft board, you're faced with a real dilemma. #packers #shorts, The Dynasty Grind: QB Value SZN (also the combine or something), EVERYTHING You Need For the 2023 NFL Combine | Dynasty Fantasy Football. /r/fantasyfootball - Good For Your Season, Press J to jump to the feed. White, a highly efficient college receiver, is now paired with Tom Brady, who throws to his running backsany running backregardless of the situation. Our RB-heavy rankings count down the top-30 first-year players who . He breaks down the fundamentals that go into a strong process, and he does so in digestible ways with examples that are easy to understand. JJ talks about his origins as the late-round QB guy and how fantasy managers' approach to the QB position has evolved over time. Tyler Higbee and Dallas Goedert Will Finish Outside the Top-12 at Tight End. 2. The award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast is a fantasy football show that helps you win through bite-sized, analytically-driven episodes. A couple of things, 1. During his Sophomore year, his snaps played dipped by 143, so his production didn't look as nice. Corral has a decently high ceiling as a willing scrambler with accuracy and has enough weapons around him to succeed right away. . Mock Draft Trainer. Im huge on historical precedent and most of the names who have previously scored at least 10.5 PPG in their rookie season (since 2018) are pretty impressive, with the exception of Laviska Shenault, Preston Williams, and Chase Claypool. If you're unfamiliar with JJ's work, it will change how you think about fantasy. But, man, it's hard to ignore this landing spot. After 2021, it's wheels up. Find details and individual feeds for all of these podcasts, as well as a ton of dynasty fantasy football content at https://dynastyleaguefootball.com. There's just a lot of ambiguity surrounding his situation right now. Chad is a member of the Fantasy Sports . He's going to be close to the top of the league at the position in routes run. Moore landed with the Jets, and some may view that as a bad spot to go. As a team, 49ers backs ranked third in fantasy points per game last year. 2023 Rookie Rankings; Dynasty Top 250 Rankings; Dynasty QB Rankings; . The most wide open wide receiver depth chart in the NFL is in Detroit. The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, Mailbag 2/24/23. Of that group, I am only buying the trio of Olave, Wilson, and London. If he can't emerge as a receiver under those circumstances, it wasn't happening. He's also the rankings editor at DLF. and our Copyright 2006-2022 Fantasy Sports Enterprises, LLC. A behind the scene look at ranking methodology and individual rankings vs the consensus. The award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast gives you everything you need to know about fantasy football in bite-sized 15-minute episodes. He had a reception share of almost 11% during his final collegiate season, his yards per team play was well above average compared to other backs in the class, and his size-speed combo -- he ran a . JJ Zachariason. JJ is the founder of LateRoundQB.com and author of The Late Round Quarterback. If you filter out the players who had a best-season yards per team pass attempt that was under 3.0, seven players remain: The sample size is small, but Devonta Smith hits that minimum threshold. And there are some values out there; I've seen Desmond Ridder go ahead of him. The DLF Dynasty Podcast #557 . Dynasty Fantasy Football Mailbag: Which Second-Year Receivers Should You Buy? There are just enough flags to make me not want to reach for him in rookie drafts. 2009-2018 numberFire, Inc. Certain headlines thanks to Rotoworld. It's hard to remember an NFL Draft that did so little to help the fantasy football world. And with a skillset perfectly tailored to fantasy football, I'd be shocked if Willis can't generate excitement when he gets on the field. Through those contests, though, he had more receiving yards than Heisman winner Devonta Smith. The spreadsheet information includes schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed numbers, adjusted target share numbers, team pass rates in neutral and non-neutral game scripts, team target shares by position, quarterback deep-ball numbers and defensive deep-ball numbers, team touchdown trends, and player rush share and target share snapshots. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 19Tier: 11. He has underrated rushing ability, too -- he's often compared to. If you enjoy discovering fantasy football trends on your own, this may be the tier for you. I've seen posts in the Ratcliffe thread sh*tting on this concept and I have no idea why. Critical data provided by research and analysis ca Latest YouTube video youtube: https://youtu.be/Ic-nV8FMQYk Links: Database: https://www.patreon.com/posts/46218140, Jake Anderson (@NFLdrafttalker) made most of my graphics, Zac Reed (@tacitassassin13) made the intro and some of the background music, Gabe Geering (@FFmanbun) made the Chicken or Crow theme song for @dynastycrossroads. He has a complete production profile (aside from not being an early-declare receiver), and his prospect score in my model is well above average for a fourth-round pick. The thing is, he's built like a running back, and he sort of plays like a running back -- he was often compared to Ty Montgomery in the pre-draft process, and Montgomery was also selected by the Packers back in 2015. Brown. In hindsight, I should've given Elijah Moore a little more love when I talked about him before the draft. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 18Tier: 11. David Bell lands in a perfect spot, given that I've been comping him to Jarvis Landry. Breece Hall is a great running back prospect, but not a flawless one. The award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast is a fantasy football show that helps you win through bite-sized, analytically-driven episodes. That's not ideal. Ive found some noticeable trends that are actionable or at least a decent guide to expectation. Among the 24 running backs who were invited to the combine (yes, I know the combine didn't happen, but they still had an invite list), Harris ranked third in best-season total yards per team play, sixth in best-season reception share, and fourth in best-season total touchdown share. Read millions of eBooks and audiobooks on the web, iPad, iPhone and Android. During his breakout Freshman campaign, 91% of his snaps came from the slot according to Pro Football Focus. For a bit it felt like we (dynasty community, Fantasy analysts, pundits, draft experts) were on the same page (elite skills and body control, some light concern about top end speed) - top 3 WR. Sure, that landed me Daniel Jones and Zach Wilson, but I also drafted Justin Herbert. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 14Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 10Post-Draft Positional Rank: 8Tier: 6. And, last year before he opted out, he accounted for about 28% of LSU's receptions, 33% of their yards, and 59% of team's receiving touchdowns. Archived post. . That's the thing. You can also get a DLF Premium Membership for FREE! His 1,143 rushing yards last season ranked second all-time for a quarterback in a season, and his eight rushing touchdowns tied for 16th all-time. Regular Season. I would be less concerned with their outsized touchdown scoring if their target shares were elite, but Watsons 15.2% share and Dotsons 15.9% share were just okay. The difference is that the Titans weren't this run-heavy, and there was a good chance we were going to see a quarterback change. It's possible a new coaching staff eventually expands Walker's usage. The award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast gives you everything you need to know about fantasy football in bite-sized 15-minute episodes. 2009-2023 numberFire, Inc. Certain headlines thanks to Rotoworld. The approach is extremely nuanced and analytical. Williams broke the Pro Football Focus record in broken tackles per attempt last year, and he has good pass-catching ability, as well. Weather info Powered by Dark Sky. And the air horns. As a member, you receive exclusive content, community access, behind-the-scenes updates, and the pride of fueling work that matters to you. By registering, you indicate that you agree to the Terms Of Service. The Podfather and JJ Zachariason explain the revolution of quarterback value in fantasy football.#fantasyfootball #draftstrategy #quarterback #fantasyfootbal. I'm lower than consensus, but I recommend getting some exposure. That type of rushing production will give him a little more leeway to develop as a passer in the NFL. July 18, 2022 10:52pm EDT He does have decent size and a good breakout age, but his stat score is below average. And, at the surface, all it took was, to make the shift. He ran a 4.38 40-yard dash at his Pro Day, giving him one of the best weight-adjusted 40 times in this class at running back. I think that cutoff is after Wan'Dale Robinson and Jalen Tolbert, but that is partly why I'm below ADP on John Metchie and Alec Pierce. Tier: 1. The DLF Dynasty Podcast #555 Super Bowl Fallout, Superflex Mock Draft, and Rookies! That's what we've got with Elijah Mitchell. For Cornell Powell, it has little to do with his analytical profile. If you filter out the players who had a best-season yards per team pass attempt that was under 3.0, seven players remain: Corey Davis, Amari Cooper, Sammy Watkins, Mike Evans, Justin Blackmon, Julio Jones, and Calvin Johnson. In Baltimore as the fourth option at best? JJ is one of the few analysts I've found that clearly and cleanly translates a process into actual, actionable advice on how to beat the market effectively. After he went 20th in the NFL draft, it's impossible not to rank Kenny Pickett as the Superflex QB1 and believe me, I've tried. Among dart throw running backs, Kenneth Gainwell is one of my favorites. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 3Tier: 9. You also gain access to the best dynasty fantasy football resources in the industry. I dont like wasting capital on assets that cant provide a material change to my roster when possible. The draft started quarterback-heavy, with eight passers and four running backs . They could use some speed on offense, and Schwartz brings that, having run a 4.26 40-yard dash at his Pro Day. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 30Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 9Post-Draft Positional Rank: 6Tier: 8. JJ Zachariason is an Editor-In-Chief at Fan Duel and Number Fire, Fantasy Sports platforms and helpers . The story for Powell is about situation. Just saw this post and genuinely appreciate all the feedback. Although it feels like the NFL season just ended, we're already looking ahead to 2022 -- and that starts with the rookies and the NFL Draft. The DLF Dynasty Podcast #557 . 3. Dulcich profiles as a move tight end, meaning that he could theoretically share the field with traditional inline tight end Albert Okwuegbunam. Or, at least, there could be competition. Here's how I put it pre-draft: "If Hall lands with an established receiving back, it could take him a few years to develop into a three-down optionakin toDavid Montgomery(0.98 YPRR). His PFF pass-blocking grades decreased every year (78.2, 64.1, 41.3), while his technique was inconsistent at best. That small build is likely the reason he almost exclusively played the slot in college. 2022 Fantasy Football Draft Targets, Avoids, Strategies with JJ Zachariason. Although a PPR scoring system is assumed, keep in mind that a switch to non . 23. was my pre-draft comparison -- that's what we're working with when it comes to Elijah Moore. ADP Index. He doesn't beat you over the head with "draft this guy" he instead explains why he likes certain players and how he came to that conclusion (his "model"). But it was bad. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 15Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 11Post-Draft Positional Rank: 10Tier: 7. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 23Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 4Post-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 6. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 7Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 3Post-Draft Positional Rank: 4Tier: 4. A lot of the strategies and content he goes over in the draft guide is stuff he's talked about in the podcast. Like, I like Rashod Bateman a lot. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 8Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 4Post-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 3. He scored pretty well in my model post-draft. Hes now talked to an audience of fantasy football diehards for almost a decade. February 27, 2023. Matt Kelley, aka The Podfather, hosts RotoUnderworld's flagship program delivering in-depth fantasy analysis supported by advanced metrics, insider real talk, and cheeky shenanigans. Hubbard landed on a team that'll use him as nothing more than a change-of-pace backup. Sucks about the charts, I feel that I can create some baller ass tableau charts that get me the same data, but by then my head is so deep in data I forget the football. It'll probably take him some time to develop, but if he does, he has some upside. , who's ranked in the bottom half of the league in average depth of target in each of his first two seasons. The analyzer also provides you with suggested players to even out the trade (if applicable), and provides the current ADP for the players involved, the value of each specific player involved in the trade. Instead of a player like Montgomery, though, Green Bay's hoping they have more of a Deebo Samuel type in Rodgers. Tolbert solidified his standing in 2022 dynasty rookie rankings at the NFL Combine with 10 hands, a 76 3/8 wingspan, 4.49 40-yard dash, and 36 vertical jump. The good news is he fell to Carolina, reuniting him with ex-LSU passing game coordinator Joe Brady. , and he could make a Luck-like impact on the ground in the NFL. JJ Zachariason @LateRoundQB Feb 24th, 2023. Unsurprisingly, the Jets took Zach Wilson with the second overall pick in last week's draft. For his career, Adams TD/Target rate is 7.3. If you're an avid listener over the last couple of years, you're not going to find a ton of new information. Overall, I felt it was definitely worth the money to have what I consider to be exceptional "beat the fantasy market" content. That's translated into 50 fewer wide receiver targets than any other team. there's no shame in panic-picking Isaiah Likely. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 5Tier: 9. Tight End. Instead of just drafting from a list of players and crossing your fingers with the hopes that th You can support pahowdy belowif you, like: Youtube: youtube.com/c/PeterHowardPahowdy. The size is there to be a beast for whoever's under center for Pittsburgh, too, given he's 6'5'' and 251 pounds. Still, even if he's a Mooney-level talent and Terry McLaurin leaves Washington, what is Dotson's realistic ceiling without good quarterback play? You'll also get priority for mailbag questions for The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast's weekly mailbag episode. Quarterback. The game is filled with variance -- unpredictable things happen all the time. For advertising inquiries: [emailprotected], 2023 LateRound.com, Late-Round Media LLC, All Rights Reserved, home,page-template,page-template-full_width,page-template-full_width-php,page,page-id-258,bridge-core-3.0.1,qode-page-transition-enabled,ajax_fade,page_not_loaded,,qode-title-hidden,qode_grid_1300,qode-theme-ver-28.6,qode-theme-bridge,disabled_footer_top,disabled_footer_bottom,wpb-js-composer js-comp-ver-6.10.0,vc_responsive, I am an industry expert with 10 years of experience, Dynasty and season-long rankings and tiers (1QB and superflex), In-depth running back and wide receiver prospect profiles (, Statistical comparables for every relevant prospect, Profiles for Year 2 Model running backs and wide receivers (. The 2022 rookie wide receiver was sublime. Customers can subscribe to NBC Sports EDGE+ monthly for $9.99. What happens if two fantasy football analysts roll up their sleeves and stir up a fight about some of their rankings differences? Latest YouTube video youtube: https://youtu.be/Ic-nV8FMQYk Links: Database: https://www.patreon.com/posts/46218140, Jake Anderson (@NFLdrafttalker) made most of my graphics, Zac Reed (@tacitassassin13) made the intro and some of the background music, Gabe Geering (@FFmanbun) made the Chicken or Crow theme song for @dynastycrossroads. Pierre Strong could similarly emerge if the Patriots move on from Damien Harris after the year. Late-Round Fantasy Football creator. He dedicates 25 pages to explain fundamentals and the process, 15-30 pages for each position (concluding each one with "your 2022 plan of attack"), 35 pages of player takes, and then his rankings. Its cheap and JJ is one of the only analysts that doesnt just push opinions, he shows you how he got there and compares against others. The trade up piece is interesting, too. Dynasty Pros Currently Online. By registering, you indicate that you agree to the Terms Of Service. Team philosophies aren't static. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts, JJ Zachariason, Late-Round Fantasy Football. Running Backs Positional Analysis. Michael Carter II is now officially a Day 3 back, and that doesn't bode well for his career success in fantasy football. Excluding Spencer Ware a late-season pick-up who only started two games 43% of the running backs . He's immediately the number-three option behind Calvin Ridley and an aging Julio Jones, and considering the holes across the defense, the Falcons should be a pretty pass-heavy team in the short term. Get . Kadarius Toney falls into that group, too. He's not an early declare, and his lanky frame is something we really haven't seen before from such a strong prospect. could be gone, opening things up for Freiermuth to be the team's primary tight end and target in the middle of the field. He's worth a flier late in rookie drafts. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Best Bets, Daily Fantasy Golf Picks, Course Key Stats, and Win Simulations, Daily Fantasy Golf: The Heat Check Podcast for The Arnold Palmer Invitational, FanDuel Soccer: EPL DFS Helper for Wednesday 3/1/23, 3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, 3 Daily Fantasy NHL Stacks for Tuesday 2/28/23, 5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, 3 NBA FanDuel Studs to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, NBA Betting Guide for Tuesday 2/28/23: Targeting 3 Totals on Tuesday, College Basketball Betting Guide: Tuesday 2/28/23, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Helper: Tuesday 2/28/23, NHL Daily Fantasy Helper: Tuesday 2/28/23, The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, Wide Receiver Prospects Who Produced Like Studs. And though it may be hard to remember, Fields was actually a good passer while in college with a career 68% completion percentage, and an adjusted yards per attempt of 10.4 yards. My issue is that with Baltimore, changing to be some average destination for wide receiver production will take a good bit of effort. The scariest part about Travis Etienne's landing spot in Jacksonville is Urban Meyer. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 4Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 3Post-Draft Positional Rank: 3Tier: 2. And he looks somewhat vulnerable if forced to share a backfield with an explosive receiving back in the mold ofAustin EkelerorTony Pollard. JJ wrote the book The Late-Round Quarterback and he hosts The Late-Round Podcast . You have to have an open mind when analyzing fantasy football. Because of this journey, Waddle's prospect profile is pretty volatile. Some of it *is* redundant. It'd be completely asinine to spend a luxury pick on a running back who'd only play passing downs, and this is likely just a classic instance of coach speak. Privacy Policy. Dynasty rookie drafts may be over, but our 2021 rookie guide is still a definite asset when preparing you for your 2021 season-long fantasy football drafts. Shoutout to @Aideiko_FF who has been compiling Superflex ADP from ongoing drafts. Share on Twitter. But at 214 pounds, White is unlikely to be a workhorse at any point in his career. It'd be completely asinine to spend a luxury pick on a running back who'd only play passing downs, and this is likely just a classic instance of coach speak. Over the last two seasons with Lamar Jackson under center, the Ravens have thrown the ball 846 times. And, at the surface, all it took was Stefon Diggs to make the shift. In fact, he comes in as a 44th percentile prospect in my model. Combine that with a 4.44 40-yard dash at his Pro Day, and it's easy to see a high ceiling.
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