monkeypox outbreak 2020 uk

Most confirmed cases with travel history reported travel to countries in Europe and North America, rather than West or Central Africa where the mpox virus is endemic. Transmission was probably through contact with contaminated bedding. The global transmission of the monkeypox virus has been on a scale not previously seen outside of Central Africa. The DRC reported more than 18,000 confirmed or suspected monkeypox cases from 2010 to 2019, up from about 10,000 from 2000 to 2009, and more than 6,000 suspected cases in 2020. This is combined with case information recorded by local Health Protection Teams in the UKHSA national case management system. Other approaches can be applied to handle right truncation bias.21 We opted for our approach because the epidemic phase related terms, P(E=e*), cancel each other out, so we do not need to explicitly describe the phase of the epidemic within the model. To adjust for the right truncation, we fitted a double interval censoring and right truncation corrected parametric delay distribution. Monkeypox surveillance data in England is currently compiled daily, based on monkeypox and orthopox virus test results from the Rare and Imported Pathogens Laboratory (RIPL), which is the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) monkeypox reference laboratory, and other UK laboratories with monkeypox and orthopox testing. In such cases it may be reasonable to consider a model without the right truncation correctionthat is, assuming that P(S

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monkeypox outbreak 2020 uk